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This is how southern Gran Canaria is heading towards tourism in 2026: Between performance and Nordic divergence

This is how southern Gran Canaria is heading towards tourism in 2026: Between performance and Nordic divergence

Yurena Vega- M24h Monday, December 29, 2025

The November 2025 balance sheet, the month prior to the end of the fiscal year, for Gran Canaria's tourism sector reveals a structural maturity that prioritizes cumulative value over monthly volume. In a November where the arrival of international passengers remained virtually flat, with a slight contraction of 0,31% (from 409.515 in 2024 to 408.234 in 2025), the truly significant figure lies in the year-to-date total. The island has managed to consolidate growth of 3,75% in the first eleven months of the year, reaching 3.682.761 international passengers, representing a net increase of 133.092 arrivals compared to the same period of the previous year. This annual buffer protects the destination's profitability against seasonal volatility.

The Anglo-German axis and the collapse of the Nordic market

Analysis by source market reveals remarkable resilience in the two fundamental pillars of the island's tourism economy. Germany, the largest market by volume, grew by 1,90% in November to 107.534 passengers, accumulating a solid 6,25% increase for the year with over 852.000 tourists. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom maintains its expansionary trend with a monthly increase of 6,84% and a year-to-date total approaching one million visitors (955.887), consolidating its position as the most significant market. However, the Nordic region raises a note of caution for investors: Sweden suffered a drastic drop of 19,80% in November, while Finland declined by 17,15% and Norway by 5,89%, indicating a change in the economic cycle or a loss of competitiveness in this specific segment.

Emerging markets and the rise of Benelux

While the North has cooled, the Benelux countries and Southern Europe are emerging as the new engines of growth. The Netherlands recorded an impressive monthly increase of 14,90%, raising its year-to-date total by 9,85% to 283.302 passengers. Luxembourg also stood out with 21,24% growth in November. In the South, Italy is showing exceptional performance year-to-date, with 24,11% growth (reaching 143.363 passengers), despite a slight stagnation in November (-0,04%). France also contributed to the dynamism with monthly growth of 22,60%, although its year-to-date total still shows a downward correction of 4,66%.

Occupancy and efficiency

The analysis of the hotel sector is reflected in a series of efficiency metrics that demonstrate consistently high occupancy levels. Performance data shows peak occupancy rates ranging from 70,46% to 84,52%, with a technical average consistently above 77% in the most competitive properties. The operational capacity of the establishments to maintain occupancy rates above 80% in mature markets is noteworthy, even reaching figures of 81,75% and 84,52% in the highest-quality segments. This stability in the load factor of the accommodation capacity, combined with a cumulative passenger growth of 3,75%, suggests that Gran Canaria is successfully optimizing its existing assets without the need for aggressive inventory expansion, thus improving the destination's operating margin.

 

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